Scotland dominates British new-build market

Scotland dominates British new-build market


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Scotland dominates British new-build market


Scotland is set to continue its domination over Britain’s new-build market, research by Warwick Estates claims, with the total number of annual sales once again dwarfing those of any other region in 2022.

In 2021, there were 54,788 new-build sales transactions in Great Britain.

Scotland was, by far, home to the largest proportion of sales with a total of 11,677. The next closest region was England’s South East with 7,335 sales.

Power of the Scots

Warwick can now reveal that Scotland is once again on track to dominate the market this year.

It appears that of an estimated 16,158 new-build sales in Britain in 2022, 10,914 will be in Scotland already with the next closest region, the South East, trailing far behind with 1,191 sales.

Scotland’s strong performance comes despite a forecast annual new-build decline of -70.5% across Britain as a whole in 2022.

In fact, Scotland’s annual decline of -6.5% is nothing compared to the rest of the British regions where annual declines have exceeded -80%.

Battle for new-build

When looking back over the last five years of new-build sales data, interestingly, Scotland slips into second place behind the South East.

Of 473,630 new-build sales in Britain since 2017, there have been 70,060 in the South East, which is an average of 14,012 per year.

In Scotland, there have been 56,669 – an average of 11,334 a year – and in London, there have been 53,957 sales which works out at 10,791 a year.

The worst performing new-build market over the past five years is Wales, which is home to just 13,721 – or 2,744 a year, followed by the North East where 21,357 sales equate to an average of 4,271 a year.

Table shows annual new-build sales in Britain in 2-17, 2019, 2021, and 2022, alongside the 1, 3, and 5-year % change
  LocationNB sales vol – 2017NB sales vol – 2019NB sales vol – 2021NB sales vol – 2022 (12 month est)Difference 2017 vs 2022Difference 2019 vs 2022Difference 2021 vs 2022
  Scotland11,83412,26611,67710,914-7.8%-11.0%-6.5%
  South East17,83118,7577,3351,191-93.3%-93.7%-83.8%
  London15,42612,6586,3581,179-92.4%-90.7%-81.5%
  South West12,46511,0824,522594-95.2%-94.6%-86.9%
  

Yorkshire and the Humber

8,9229,5273,502444-95.0%-95.3%-87.3%
  North West11,75514,7765,058432-96.3%-97.1%-91.5%
  East of England11,98913,6965,060426-96.4%-96.9%-91.6%
  West Midlands region9,91210,8064,086411-95.9%-96.2%-89.9%
  East Midlands10,13910,7854,188396-96.1%-96.3%-90.5%
  North East5,7205,8631,835102-98.2%-98.3%-94.4%
  Wales4,0403,7721,16769-98.3%-98.2%-94.1%
  Great Britain120,033124,00754,78816,158-86.5%-87.0%-70.5%
          
          
  Table shows accumulated new-build sales in Britain since 2017     
  LocationTotal since 2017 (May 2017 to April 2022 – 60 months)Average per year     
  South East70,06014,012     
  Scotland56,66911,334     
  London53,95710,791     
  North West50,64110,128     
  East of England49,1949,839     
  South West43,9178,783     
  West Midlands region39,6597,932     
  East Midlands39,4257,885     
  

Yorkshire and the Humber

34,9696,994     
  North East21,3574,271     
  Wales13,7212,744     
  Great Britain473,63094,726

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