First index of 2026 reveals surprise house price dip

First index of 2026 reveals surprise house price dip


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Nationwide says UK house prices fell in December compared to November, decelerating the rate of annual growth to the lowest in 18 months. 

Prices fell 0.4% month-on-month as 2025 came to an end, taking year-on-year growth slowed from 1.8% in November to 0.6% in December – the lowest since April 2024.

The building society says part of the reason for the fall is that a year ago – in December 2024 – house price growth was unusually high at 4.7%. 

Robert Gardner, chief economist at the building society, says: “Despite the softer end to the year, the word that best describes the housing market in 2025 overall is ā€˜resilient’. Even though consumer sentiment was relatively subdued, with households reluctant to spend and mortgage rates around three times their post pandemic lows, mortgage approvals remained near pre-Covid levels.”

Nationwide’s quarterly house price index shows every area of the UK recording annual average increases – except for one.

The area bucking the trend is East Anglia, where prices fell by 0.8%. The building society says this was in fact the first annual decline in a region since Q2 2024, which coincidentally was also East Anglia and a fall of 0.8%.

At the other end of the spectrum, Northern Ireland continued to outpace the rest of the UK by a wide margin, with prices increasing by 9.7% over the year. This was more than five times faster than the 1.7% recorded in the UK as a whole and nearly three times higher than the 3.5% recorded in the next strongest region – the North West of England.

Despite these significant price gains, house prices in Northern Ireland are still around 5% below the all-time high recorded in 2007, while UK prices are almost 50% higher over the same period. As a result, the price of a typical home in Northern Ireland is currently around 79% of the UK average price, while in 2007 it was around 25% higher.

Scotland broadly matched the wider UK trend in 2025 with annual house price growth of 1.9%. Meanwhile, Wales saw a slight increase in annual house price growth to 3.2% and was the only other part of the UK, apart from Northern Ireland, to see stronger house price growth in 2025 than in 2024.

England saw a further slowing in annual house price growth to 1.2%, from 1.6% in Q3. 

Average prices in Northern England (comprising North, North West, Yorkshire & The Humber, East Midlands and West Midlands) were up 2.3% year on year, with the North West (which includes areas such as Cheshire, Lancashire & Greater Manchester) the top performing region in England – with prices up 3.5% year on year.

Average house price growth in Southern England (South West, Outer South East, Outer Metropolitan, London and East Anglia) was 0.6%. 

Annual price growth in London remained subdued, with prices rising by 0.7% in 2025, compared with a 2.0% rise in 2024. East Anglia was the weakest performing UK region and the only one to see an annual decline, with prices down 0.8%, compared with Q4 2024.

In response to the index, Mark Harris – chief executive of mortgage broker SPF Private Clients – says:Ā ā€œHard-pressed borrowers will be hoping for January sales from lenders with lower mortgage rates as we kick off the new year – and the signs are promising.

ā€œThe trend in new mortgage pricing was downwards in December with the base-rate reduction already priced in to many new deals. Lenders are keen to attract new business and get 2026 off to a strong start.

ā€œMarket expectations are for another two or three base rate reductions this year. This will provide a welcome shot in the arm for the housing market which suffered from pre-Budget speculation over property taxes which on the whole turned out not to be as bad as many feared.ā€

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