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Single First-Time Buyers cannot afford 75% of homes using Mortgage Guarantee Scheme

Rightmove claims that single first-time buyers on an average salary and with a 5.0 per cent deposit could not afford three-quarters of properties for sale in the typical first-time buyer market.

Homes in this typical first-time buyer market include studio flats and one and two-bedroom flats and houses – smaller properties that are a popular first step to getting on the housing ladder.

The analysis is based on a first-time buyer having a maximum budget of £164,810. This is based on being able to borrow £156,569 from a lender (4.5 times the average national salary of £34,793, ONS figure) and having a 5.0 per cent deposit of £8,240.

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Single first-time buyers in the capital are hardest hit, being able to afford just 2.0 per cent of studio, one and two-bedroom properties with an average London salary and a 5.0 per cent deposit, compared to the North East, where solo first-time buyers could afford 67 per cent of properties.

Westminster, Islington & Camden top the list of areas where a single first-time buyer could afford the smallest proportion of typical first-time buyer homes for sale on the average local salary.

95 per cent mortgage rates are usually higher than those for other LTV brackets. The lowest available five-year fixed 95 per cent mortgage rate is currently 5.59 per cent, while the equivalent lowest 85 per cent rate is 4.99 per cent.

Based on a maximum budget of £164,810, a buyer with a 5.0 per cent deposit would repay £970 per month over 25 years, compared with £818 per month for a buyer with a 15 per cent deposit.

If extending the mortgage term to 35 years, this reduces payments to £850 per month with a 5.0 per cent deposit, and £706 with a 15 per cent deposit.

Meanwhile, average advertised rents are now 10 per cebt higher than this time last year for new tenants across Great Britain, while the average rent for a studio, one or two bedroom home now makes up 38 per cent of the average salary, making it challenging for those looking to move from the rental market to owning their first home, particularly for a single buyer.

However, for those able to buy with a partner, friend or family member, options greatly open up to those with a small deposit. Two first time buyers on an average salary could afford 70 per cent of smaller properties across Great Britain with a 5% deposit, due to the increased borrowing power.

Recently there were reports that the government was considering extending the 95% mortgage guarantee scheme that helps people with a 5% deposit to buy a home. Whilst any support is likely to be welcomed by small-deposit movers, Rightmove suggests that as this scheme can only help a small proportion of people then more options could be considered, especially those that would help people buying on their own to get their first step on the property ladder.

Tim Bannister, Rightmove’s property expert says: “Having enough affordable homes in the right places has been an ongoing challenge. It’s clear from our analysis that people trying to buy on their own on the average salary are likely to be priced out of the majority of homes without significant financial help from elsewhere. With the Autumn Statement fast approaching, the government is likely looking at multiple options and how they could help home-movers, and so we wanted to highlight that this group would particularly welcome any help or incentives.”

Matt Smith, Rightmove’s mortgage expert adds: “Any focus and support for those with the smallest deposits is always going to be welcome. However, in reality the mortgage guarantee scheme is only able to help a very small portion of movers, with the majority of first time buyers preferring to get the affordability benefits of saving for a bigger deposit . If the scheme was cancelled then it may be seen as a disappointing outcome by some, but in reality it’s unlikely to have a significant impact on consumer choice, as many lenders are offering 5% deposit deals outside of the government scheme.”

Regional data (data based on October 2023)

Region

Average Salary

Maximum Individual Loan

(4.5 x Salary)

% of studio, one and two bedroom homes a single first-time buyer could afford with a 5% deposit

%of studio, one and two bedroom homes two first-time buyers could afford with a 5% deposit

Great Britain

£34,793

£156,569

25%

70%

London

£42,942

£193,237

2%

41%

South East

£37,144

£167,146

13%

75%

South West

£32,401

£145,805

15%

73%

East of England

£36,036

£162,162

18%

79%

East Midlands

£31,819

£143,185

31%

93%

West Midlands

£32,791

£147,560

32%

90%

North West

£32,386

£145,735

45%

91%

Yorkshire and The Humber

£31,673

£142,529

47%

94%

Scotland

£34,580

£155,610

65%

95%

North East

£30,373

£136,679

67%

97%

Most affordable areas for single first-time buyers (data based on October 2023)

Region

Average  Salary

Maximum  Individual Loan

(4.5 x Salary)

% of studio, one and two bedroom homes a single first time buyer could afford with a 5% deposit

%of studio, one and two bedroom homes two first time buyers could afford with a 5% deposit

West Dunbartonshire

£34,091

£153,410

93%

100%

Aberdeen City

£35,667

£160,501

92%

99%

North Lanarkshire

£33,462

£150,579

91%

100%

Renfrewshire

£35,214

£158,465

90%

100%

East Ayrshire

£32,328

£145,478

88%

99%

Clackmannanshire

£36,910

£166,093

88%

98%

South Lanarkshire

£36,239

£163,075

87%

100%

North Ayrshire

£33,264

£149,690

87%

100%

Angus

£32,120

£144,542

84%

100%

Inverclyde

£30,087

£135,392

84%

99%

Most unaffordable areas for single first-time buyers (data based on October 2023)

Region

Average Salary

Maximum  Individual Loan

(4.5 x Salary)

% of studio, one and two bedroom homes a single first time buyer could afford with a 5% deposit

% of studio, one and two bedroom homes two first time buyers could afford with a 5% deposit

Westminster

£50,778

£228,501

0.1%

11%

Islington

£46,894

£211,021

0.2%

22%

Camden

£44,684

£201,076

0.3%

14%

Barnet

£38,735

£174,307

0.3%

33%

Tower Hamlets

£47,466

£213,595

0.4%

38%

Southwark

£44,491

£200,210

0.4%

33%

Hackney

£42,130

£189,587

0.4%

17%

Brent

£37,466

£168,597

0.4%

31%

Tandridge

£35,610

£160,243

0.5%

47%

Newham

£36,421

£163,894

0.5%

37%

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